Leeds vs Castleford tonight will be a good game to watch even though in theory Castleford now have little to play for. We showed last week with Hull that pride is very important and Daryl Powells men will be well up to put one over the Rhinos in front of their home crowd at Headingley. Its also a vital night for the Rhinos who have lost their last 2 and were hoping a decline this year like last year just simply wouldn’t happen. But it has and they must right the ship with an emphatic display this evening.
Do I expect the Tigers to win tonight, probably not, although that wouldn’t be the biggest shock. Kallum Watkins returns for the Rhinos as the best centre in the game and Rob Burrows will help in the half back position where Leeds have missed Aiton. These are two important additions to the Leeds machine. Castleford are back to full strength barring the “Carney” problem but for me they just lack that finishing power now and it is too easy for teams to defend against their likely scoring targets.
The Catalan (how frustrating have they been) pasting last week hurt Leeds and I expect their players ears to be ringing from Coach McDermott, so tipping an upset would be ambitious. For me its all about the handicap line and how this is set by bookies. Castleford have little lose and will throw the ball around and in doing so will create chances to score and will also leave gaps. This style of game also suits Leeds who really need to make a statement tonight and I think they will. I think we can find two ways in to this game and our bets are as follows ;
4 units @ 10/11 over 54.5 total points with Sportingbet