Open Sud de France

 

aussie openMajor Hangover

After a thrilling Australian Open in which the world’s best player Novak Djokovic demolished a mentally weak Andy Murray we head to Montpelier to see a heavy French line-up battle it out to see who can take the crown indoors, in the beautiful south of France. The French line up is a strong one as you would expect and its hard to see past the first few in the betting. We have settled on two and let’s hope we can be as successful as we were with Novak in the Australian Open.

 

 

Gilles SimonGilles Simon

The second seed will be delighted with his draw as he has to only face a hard task of disposing of Phillip Kohlschreiber in order to reach the final here if things go according to plan and he plays something like recent form. Seeing as Kohlschreiber has never won an indoor title it’s fair to say Simon has a clear run to the final providing no shocks from one of the qualifiers. I’m not sure how he will fare against Gasquet or Monfils in the final but he will definitely make the top two and that will see us in a no lose situation.

 

Richard GasquetRichard Gasquet

The 2013 champion has reached the final on the last two occasions in Montpellier and here at The Betting Agency we expect him to do so again. He will face stern opposition in the form of the top seed but enigmatic Gail Monfils but he will be a favourite in that battle due to his compatriot’s inconsistent form. In the final should he face Simon I would rate him as a favourite to get the edge but he will have to bring his A Game, the one that saw him play so well in the Masters Final in London in 2013. He is capable of getting back to that level and this could be the kick start he needs.

 

 

Our Tips

Gilles Simon 1 unit e/w @ 5-1 with Skybet

Richard Gasquet 2 units e/w @ 7-2 with Skybet

Superbowl XL1X

Its a paradox, is the NFL. You look forward so much to the Superbowl final to find the best of the best and in doing so that signals the end of the American Football season. As they say – that’s life!

So it’s here. The match up to find who is the best NFL team in America. Is it the NFC team or is it the AFC team. Who would have thought it all those year ago before Superbowl III and Joe Namath’s New York Jets producing one of the great upsets ever that we would crave the winner so greatly. And this match up is one that works on so many levels, just like that game in 1969.

Tom BradyReplace Namath with Brady and you have an idea of the superstar status of the New England Patriots Quarterback – will it be the same result? I said the other day to Russ Wiseman of Sportingbet that there are certain sportsmen that get to the Megastar level. Tiger Woods, Ronaldo, Nadal, Djokovic, Messi, and a few others. Brady is in that elite group. A winner who knows how to win. Bill BelichickBack him up with one of the finest coaches the game has ever known in Bill Belichick and then let the two of them put together a potent offense with an ultra effective defense and you have one of the most successful franchises of the last decade.

So that means they win doesn’t it? Well maybe – maybe not. That’s why its a pick game according to the oddsmakers.

Let’s consider the opposition. The Seattle Seahawks. Bellichick says that Seattle coach, Peter Carrol runs a 1970’s defense – that works. I think what he is trying to say is that he think he is a very talented coach but he know how to beat him.

russell wilsonLet’s consider for a moment that he is right and he can better their defense, here’s the wild card; Russell Wilson. Green Bay produced the best defensive performance of the season and somehow the Seahawks still got the job done. The Packers kept the Beast at bay for nearly 3 quarters and they kept Wilson in the pocket – but then they simply ran out of puff. Wilson found gaps, Lynch found huge holes and space appeared. I really don’t think that up until the end of the third quarter any defense anywhere could have played better and they still couldn’t get the job done. So it’s not about the points Brady can score and he will make it happen with points and lets remember there are people who think Aaronn Rodgers is the best QB in the NFL; no, its about how many points you can stop Seattle from scoring and there-in lies the problem for the Patriots. How do they stop the Seahawks scoring points.

Pete Carroll and his whole outfit believe that no matter how many points you score – we score more and for that reason they win and we are going for the Seahawks.

I think it will be a fabulous game and you need to get involved because you will love it.

 

Our bet : 11 units win Seattle @ 10-11 to lift the Superbowl with Sportingbet

The Australian Open – Leg 1 of the Grand Slam

 

Gunning for Glory

Well… This is it, thankfully after the Xmas break its back on again. Finally a Grand Slam to get the year up and running. Melbourne is the hub of shocks with Wawrinka winning last year and players such as Tsonga (2008) and Baghdatis in (2006) have reached the final. This is one of the biggest tournaments in the world and we will see who the best players in the world are. Can the new breed get rid of the Old Guard in 2015, or is there about to be a New World order – we think not!

 

NovakNovak Djokovic

It goes without saying that anything other than a win here in Australia will be a disappointment for the Serb. The world no.1 will be going for his 5th title and arguably is at the peak in his career. At the moment he has more quality than anybody else and we expect that he will use that. Providing he doesn’t experience a shock from someone in the draw we have overlooked, which because of his experience just shouldn’t happen, expect him to deliver the title. He is simply the mentally strongest player we have ever seen

 

roger federerRoger Federer

Another world class player also going for title number 5 in Australia. Federer last won in 2010 and will be looking to get back to winning ways. Should he be on top form he will be a serious contender and possibly get to the final. But with more energetic players to come up against every round the tournament could take its toll on the 33 year old. He will challenge but I can’t see him beating both Nadal and Murray which he most likely will have to do to reach the final. 5 sets is hard work in that temperature and he is in the final embers of an amazing career. It just gets that much harder.

 

Rafael-NadalRafa Nadal

The Spaniard’s career has been stricken by injuries but it looks as though he has passed the worst and is on the road back to where he was. At one point Nadal looked as though he was untouchable and if he can move half as well as he did, he will be a force to be reckoned with. Sadly that’s a big if – just like Sprinter Sacre – is he or isn’t he??? He reached the final last year and here at The Betting Agency we fully expect him to do it again and also, if anyone’s going  to beat Djokovic, it’s him.

 

Our Tips

Djokovic 5 units win @ Evens with Boylesports

Nadal 1 unit e/w @ 9/1 with Sportingbet

 

Tips by Rory Crowe

NFC Championship Play-off Game

 

The Packers travel to Seattle where many a team have wilted. In fact the Seahawks have only lost 2 games out of their last 26 at home. The 12 man effect of the crowd may be overstated by the fact they are an exceptionally good side anyway but no-one looks forward to going to Seattle and this game might just bring back some bad memories from the season opener for Rodgers and friends.

We labelled the Packers a “pretender masquerading as a contender to the NFL throne” after Green Bay’s ugly 36-16 loss to the Seattle Seahawks in the 2014 NFL Kickoff.

Aaron Rodgers and friends were overwhelmed from the start, averaging just 3.5 yards per play entering the fourth quarter against the Legion of Boom. A second defeat in Week 3 to theDetroit Lions sent Packers fans into a dark place, until Rodgers — the game’s finest quarterback — cast his spell over Green Bay with one five-letter word: “R-E-L-A-X.”

That said, all is not well.

Rodgers is still fighting a painful calf strain that made him look human for three-plus quarters against the Cowboys. His Packers, meanwhile, haven’t been the same team on the road, putting up 17.2 fewer points per tilt in enemy territory — the largest differential between home and away points per game totals of any team in 2014.

The Packers aren’t the same squad we saw at CenturyLink Field in September, but the Seahawkshave undergone a metamorphosis of their own. Playing their best football of the year, Seattle’s smothering defense against Green Bay’s high-octane air attack has the makings of a January classic.

aaron rodgersUnder pressure

 

Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers:

How is the greatest signal-caller of our day under the gun?

Simple. If that calf acts up, we’re in for another dose of Rodgers looking like a shell of himself against the NFL’s most powerful secondary.

“It’s good. No better. It’s doing OK,” Rodgers said Tuesday of the injury, adding: “Any time you move and feel the pain, you’re going to stop doing what you’re doing.”

The Packers game-planned around his limited mobility against Dallas, lining up Rodgers in the pistol or shotgun for every snap outside of Green Bay’s three victory formation kneel-downs to seal the win. For much of the game, we saw a passer who couldn’t plant his feet, leading to Rodgers sailing throws high for three-plus quarters.

Rodgers bounced back against the Cowboys to complete three passes — with two touchdowns — outside the pocket. Watch him drill this ball into the hands of tight end Richard Rodgers off one foot:

If Rodgers can operate the way he did over the final quarter against Dallas, hope remains. The neutralizer, of course, is Seattle’s No. 1 defense, destined to put pressure on Rodgers behind aRichard Sherman-led secondary holding opposing passers to a Total QBR of 53.1 since Week 7 — third lowest in the NFL.

There have been six instances of the same teams meeting in Week 1 and then again in the conference championship. All six times, the team that won in Week 1 also won the conference title game. … Seattle’s defense allowed 159 receptions, 1,587 yards and five touchdowns to wide receivers in 2014 — all totals stood as the lowest in the NFL. … The Seahawks are 16-0 at home since 2012 when scoring 24-plus points. Green Bay’s defense has allowed 24-plus points just once in their last nine games.

russell wilsonHow good are these quarterbacks? Last week, Rodgers and Tony Romo faced off in a playoff matchup of the two highest-rated passers in NFL history (minimum 1,500 attempts). If the attempts minimum is lowered to 1,000, though, Rodgers and Russell Wilson are the two highest-rated signal-callers ever. … Lynch has been outstanding, but don’t forget about Eddie Lacy. His 72.9 yards per game are close to Beast Mode (80.3), while Lacy leads in yards per carry (4.7 to 4.6).

We’ve come a long way since Week 1. Winning in Seattle remains close to impossible, but Green Bay’s offense has the firepower to test this secondary. It will be fascinating to watch wideouts Jordy Nelson andRandall Cobb square off against Sherman and fellow Seattle corner Byron Maxwell. Packers rookie pass-catcher Davante Adams — who shredded Dallas for 117 yards — looms as a juicy third target if they can throw the ball in the wind.

The clear X-factor remains the health of Rodgers. If he can’t rely on his lower body, Seattle — allowing just 8.0 points per game in their last seven tilts — will clamp down. After the Seahawks overpowered Peyton Manning in February and Rodgers in September, I expect history to repeat itself on Sunday.

Seattle will get through this as they are the best team in the NFC but I expect the Packers defense to turn up today and for that reason I think points will be at a premium in a game where passing will be difficult in the high winds that are forecast. This could be a good old fashioned defensive battle.

 

Our bet – 4 units – less than 44.5 points @ 10/11 with Sportingbet

 

Apia International Tennis, Sydney

 

The Countdown is almost over

 

After all the waiting, the Australian Open is almost here with just a week left and with the big players out preparing this will show who could can cause an upset in Melbourne. Let’s face it after the defeats last week of both Rafa and Novak, quite a few of these will fancy their chances. So who will be looking to warm up with some positive results and a title heading in to Melbourne next week.

Below are the people we think you need to be thinking about in Sydney.

David GoffinDavid Goffin

The Belgian had a terrific year last time out and will be hoping to continue his great form with a win here in Sydney. Seeded 2nd it shows he is not to be messed with here. He was training with Roger Federer during the off-season so he probably will have picked up a trick or two there. One of the leading contenders and the bookies favourite.

 

Julian Benneteaujulien benneteau

The Frenchman is seeded fourth and has a clear run to the final only having to overcome Fognini and a sluggish Del Potro who hasn’t played competitively for months and takes a while to warm up his game. Not sure he will win it but a final spot is definitely realistic.

 

bernard tomicBernard Tomic

Bernard Tomic has a terrific record here in Sydney finishing runner up last year and winning the year before. Also he comes from a spirited loss in the quarter final in Brisbane to Nishikori, but here in Sydneyt there will be no players of the quality of Nishikori and Tomic will have a real shot at winning here. His main foe is David Goffin who he would face in the semi-final but the Aussie may be able to handle it. It’s 50/50 between Goffin and Tomic.

 

Our Tips

David Goffin 1 unit e/w  @ 9-2

Julian Benneteau 1 unit e/w @ 10-1

Bernard Tomic 1 unit e/w @  10-1

NFL Divisional Play Offs

 

Game 1. Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay 5.30pm

 

aaron rodgersThis is an exciting and decent play off game with two teams who don’t look dissimilar. Franchise QB’s, good wide receivers and ok defenses. Rodgers v Romo is how the press paint it but its a lot more than that.

The Packers are making their sixth straight playoff appearance with star passer Aaron Rodgers at the helm, but the postseason has been filled with disappointment since winning Super BowlXLV four seasons ago.

Tony Romo shined down the stretch in Sunday’s wild-card win, but the Cowboys quarterback — blamed for everything from global warming to unrest in Gaza — knows one victory won’t be enough to curtail his doubters. He now stands at the threshold of a golden opportunity: Down the Packers, silence the haters and bring the ‘Boys one step closer to the promised land.

Under pressure, Part One

 

Cowboys secondary:

The Dallas defense has surpassed expectations, but the secondary gave up plenty of chunk plays to Golden Tate and Calvin Johnson in the wild-card bout and rightly so they are quality Receivers.. After allowing the Lions two-some to team for 11 catches and 174 yards, the Cowboys are in for an even stiffer test on Sunday against wideoutsJordy Nelson and Randall Cobb.

The Packers duo ranks first in the league in receiving touchdowns (25), second in combined receiving yards (2,806) and fourth in total receptions (189). As the first team in NFL history boasting two players with 1,200-plus receiving yards and 12-plus touchdowns, the Packers have leaned on Nelson and Cobb to help the offense score on a league-best 46.7 percent of their drives.

Dallas has yet to be tested this way through the air, but the team’s recent spate of thievery might help. The Cowboys have forced 15 turnovers during their five-game winning streak, the most in the NFL since Week 14. Three takeaways saved the day against Detroit, but turnovers won’t be easy against a Packers offense with an NFL-low 13 giveaways this season. Rodgers, meanwhile, boasts an outrageous 25:0 touchdown-to-interception ratio at home in 2014.

Under pressure, Part Two

The calf of Rodgers:

Green Bay’s quarterback has battled a tweaked calf since Week 16. Coach Mike McCarthy has expressed only confidence in Rodgers suiting up against the ‘Boys, but this affair swings wildly in favor of Dallas if backup Matt Flynn does anything beyond downing cups of cocoa on the sidelines.

Matchup to watch:

 

demarco murrayDeMarco Murray vs. Packers run defense:

After allowing 129.2 yards per game on the ground through Week 13, Green Bay has given up just 80.0 yards per tilt over the past three games. Granted, that average was greatly helped by holding the ghost-ship known as the Buccaneers to 16 yards in Week 16.

Green Bay on the year has hardly been a force against the run, ranking 23rd in that category despite facing just two top-five rushers all season.Marshawn Lynch punctured the Pack for 110 yards and a pair of scores in Week 1 — which feels like 43 years ago — before LeSean McCoy rumbled for 88 more in Week 11.

Dallas won’t wander from the script, angling to shorten the game with clock-chewing drives that lean on Murray, the NFL’s leading rusher, to tire down Green Bay’s front seven. Murray’s 12 games of 100-plus rushing yards are a Cowboys record, but the workhorse has been held under 100 yards in four of his past six outings.

Murray looked healthy against the Lions, but his 411 totes on the year — 99 more than any other back — have pushed the envelope. Does the Dallas wonder have one more monster outing on tap?

Mind-blowing stats:

romoAaron Rodgers (106.0) and Tony Romo (97.6) are the two highest-rated passers in NFL history. … Romo (113.2) and Rodgers (112.2) also boast a combined quarterback rating of 225.4 this season, the highest combined passer rating by two signal-callers starting a playoff game in league history. … This will be just the sixth postseason tilt in NFL lore where opposing quarterbacks each had 220-plus career touchdown passes. … Since 2011, Rodgers has produced the top-three single-season passer ratings at home in NFL history. … In games below 40 degrees, Romo’s passer rating dips to 86.3 (11.3 points below his career average) with Rodgers remaining an effective 104.7 (1.3 points below his career average).

Sunday marks the first ever playoff matchup of teams to go 8-0 on road (Cowboys) and 8-0 at home (Packers) in the regular season. … The Cowboys are the first team in history to have the NFL’s leader in passer rating (Tony Romo), rushing yards (DeMarco Murray) and receiving touchdowns (Dez Bryant) in the same season. … Rodgers has thrown 36 touchdowns since his last pick at home, which was Week 13, 2012 against the Vikings. That’s 14 consecutive games and 418 attempts without an interception, both of which are the NFL’s longest streaks since 1960.

So how does it break down. Logically, at home Green Bay are favourites but I just think that the Cowboys are starting to believe and somehow Romo will now deliver all that potential.

Our Bet : 4 units win Dallas Cowboys @ 21/10 with Sportingbet

NFL Play offs – Week Two

After getting all four results right last week we are keen to get involved this weekend in the Divisional Finals. All the big guns are in and the best QB’s in the country are all on show. Nonw more so than our first game, where Tom Brady takes on Joe Flacco in what promises to be a cracking game.

 

Tom BradyGame 1. Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots  09.35pm

Simple game to work out but not a simple answer. Tom Brady has all his weapons available to him tonight and he will need them all for his team to get the better of the Ravens. The Patriots struggle to produce a strong running game and if they did no-one would get near them. However I don’t see them finding that running game tonight against a defense that simply loves offensive lines to challenge them and nearly always comes out on top.

So with no running game I expect lots of quick slant passes as Brady tries to get the ball out of his hands quickly while nicking 4-6 yards a play.joe flacco If the Ravens secondary can stop those successes then it may be that Suggs, Dumervil and Ngata can have their way with the Pats Offensive line and make it a bad day for Tom.

I have no fear of Joe Flacco not performing, I think he might be the best pocket QB in the business now and he may prove it tonight. The first 10 minutes will be crucial. If New England get off to a flyer then it will be tough for the Ravens to play catch up but if they hang in there then the 5/2 on offer will look a huge price. And that’s where we are going with this

 

Our bet : 4 units win Baltimore Ravens @ 5/2 with Skybet

 

 

cam newtonGame 2 Carolina Panthers @ Seatle Seahawks 12.35am

This is a big test for Cam Newton and his firing offense. Last weekend the defense got the offence back on the park to let them and Cam do their job. Will they be so successful against a lightening Seattle offense led by the incredibly quick Russell Wilson. The one thing they have got going for them is that they are a smallish defensive line but a very quick one and that will help. The loss of Star Lotulelei will hurt them and stop both Kuechly and Davis from getting to Wilson.

russell wilson

 

Newton will find a way to score points but if he cant get on the field often and if his defense are worn down it could be a long day for the Panthers. I think if Lotulelei had played I would have taken a chance with the Panthers but I just cant see how they can score more points than the Seahawks who at home revel in the fact of having a 12th man with their partisan support. I don’t however, expect the Panthers to role over and the 11 point spread seems a little too insulting to the chance of Carolina. So we will take that in the belief that the Seahawks will have to work and will settle for just getting the job done.

 

Our bet : 4 units Carolina + 11 at Evens with Skybet.

 

PDC World Championships – The Semi Finals

Its been every bit as magical as we hoped when the tournament started and we are blessed with two outstanding semi-finals. Both different and both as equally intriguing as each other. For those of you who took our early advice and backed Gary Anderson at 13/2 e/w, we are just one match away from a collect but ohh what a match and its no easier for our other pre-,match bet of 4 units e/w on Phil Taylor @ 2/1.

However our pre-tournament 7.5 units on MVG to win his quarter @ 8/15 is in the bank and our 8 units on Phil @ 1/2 to win his quarter is also a winner giving us 8 units profit, less the 2 units we staked on Stephen Bunting to win his quarter. So we have a 6 unit profit so far with just 8 units at risk pre-tournament. Now, lets get stuck in to the semi’s.

 

Saturday 3rd January

 

Gary Anderson

Can Gary fulfil his amazing potential this time?

1st Semi Final – Michael Van Guerwen vs Gary Anderson.

This match represents the new breed. The explosive scoring power of two guys who have the ability to throw more 180’s in tournaments than any others. They can also miss a lot of doubles. However both have been working on the same thing this year. How to be better on doubles and because of that, up until now, there scoring this year has been less.

Both players are winning just as much and some could argue that coming in this tournament Gary was in a much better place than Michael. They are also winning without the pain but neither appear to be quite the same players as they were, that is up until now. To win this match one of them is going to have to retain his new found doubles ability but rekindle that unbelievable talent of hitting the lipstick, time after time. I think one of them will.

MVG

MVG – the force of old or a scared victim?

I think the winner will need to average 104 and probably check out at about 45%. Who is best placed to do that? The answer is both. That’s why our strategy is going to be. Back Gary at 7/4 and then when he gets a lead and they turn it around back MVG in running at odds against. It will happen.

We then hope for Gary to win so we can cop with our initial bet pre-tournament at 13/2. But that’s another matter. On another note the winner of the tournament is in this semi-final, problem is – which one is it?

 

 

Our other saver is 4 units to win the tournament on MVG @ 13/8/ We will then at least have one of ours in at much bigger prices than they will be in the final.

 

So our strategy for tonight  is 4 units Gary Anderson @ 7/4 back to lay then 4 units MVG at evens when that happens.

 

phil taylor

Phil – The War Horse – Taylor. One too many or not?

2nd Semi Final – Phil Taylor vs Raymond Van Barneveld.

The old guard do battle in a match that I don’t expect to have the fireworks of the first and nor do I expect it to have the mistakes of the first. Phil is not the player he was but he is getting the job done, in what was without doubt the easiest side of the draw. We always knew that which is why he was such a good bet (advised at 2-1) to reach the final. But before we go collecting on that bet consider this. Phil has scraped past some ordinary players.

barney

Does Barney believe?

Kim Huybrechts isn’t ordinary but he should have won and Vincent Van Der Voort simply doesn’t have the belief to get over the line. He should have won as well. That’s two matches that Phil has got through on will power alone. He simply isn’t the same darter he was. No reason he should be either and all credit to him, he is still there and still making semi’s.

So here is the conundrum. RVB has played the Power 62 times and only beaten him 12 times for a 25% strike rate. Barney has been through mental hell but seems to be coming out of it. Can he trick himself into believing that he can now beat Phil. Can he convince himself that Phil isn’t the player he was and that he is back to his brilliant best. Last night he showed that his game is getting stronger and that he seems in a good place mentally. If he can play the board and not the man then he can triumph. IF, IF, IF. There will be a turning point in tihs mtach, you just need to watch for it.

Again our strategy is similar

Back Barney @ 3/1 for 4 units and then look to lay him by backing Phil for 4 units at evens when that happens and lock in a potential no loss profit.

 

Lets have a double as well  2 units Anderson and Barneveld @ 3/1 & 7/4 That pays 8/1 and that is very possible. all with Sportingbet

NFL Playoff Weekend 1

The Road to Superbowl XLIX – Our Selections week by week

 

Week 1 – Wildcard Weekend

This is the best time of year in America. A nation that loves it’s football and gets more than a little emotional right through until February. So how does week 1 kick off in the playoffs.

 

Saturday : 

cam newtonArizona Cardinals @ Carolina Panthers.

Whats the most important part to this game. Simple. The Panthers are at home. Whats the next most important part. Easy, Cam Newton. I really like Cam; problem is in 2013 when these two sides met last, he had a stinker and the Cardinals kept the Panthers to just 6 points and Cam to 53% completion. There are those that would argue that this is a better Cardinals defense than last year. The thing is I think this is a better Panthers team as well. Benjamin gives them more options and defensively they are playing very well. I think the Panthers could have quite a run if both Newton and Benjamin stay fit.

Our bet : 4 units win Carolina @ 4-9 Sportingbet

 

joe flaccoBaltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers

There are many pundits who think the Steelers are destined for the Superbowl and who would argue against big Ben’s team going all the way. Well, probably me. Somehow under Flacco the Ravens just get the job done and they are a handful both sides of the ball, although their stuttering offense couldn’t be called consistent it tends to deliver on the big occasions (see photo right!) There is no doubt the Ravens secondary will be tested by Antonio Brown but like all receivers he is only as good as the service he gets from his QB and that is where the game will be won and lost. Can the Ravens D put Ben under pressure having stopped his running game. If the answer is yes then the Ravens cause an upset. I will be cheering them on as I like Ravens football. It wont be easy away from home but the spirit of No 52 lives on.

Our bet: 4 units win Baltimore @ 7-5 with Sportingbet

 

Sunday

andrew luckCincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts

Surely the Bengals turn up for a play off game sooner or later. If not will it be back to the drawing board and the end of Andy Dalton et al. Its important for the city and the state but I don’t see Andrew Luck and his team letting them in just for sentimental reasons. True, Luck had a shocker in his play off game last year but he is better now both physically and mentally and his team believe they are destined for a starring role in the play offs. Not original but hard to tip against the favs in this one.

Our bet 6 units win Indianapolis @ 1-2 with Betvictor

 

demarco murrayDetroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys

What a shame this match up happened in Week one. I was keen to see both play as they are entertaining sides who have put together a decent season at last. It’s going to be tough for the Lions as so much will fall to what Mathew Stafford can do with his heavily invested in offense. They have to score to stay in the game against a team who know how to score and can defend as well. They key is the running game of Dallas. The success of this aspect with Demarco Murray has taken pressure off  Tony Romo and given him time to hit the amazing Des Bryant. If Detroit can’t stop Murray they cant win and even then they may spend so much effort trying to do this that Des just tears them apart down the field. Sorry can’t see past Dallas, who I think will play well for a couple of weeks yet.

Our bet : 6 units win Dallas @ 1/3 with Sportingbet & 4 units over 48.5 points @ 10/11 with Sportingbet

 

The Emirates Australian Open

The Australian Golf Club is the perfect place to play out this weekends drama

Is it as simple as the World number 1 vs Australia’s undisputed No 1?

Could it simply be McIlroy vs Scott?

 

In a tournament which went to the 72nd hole last year there will be an extra edge of competitiveness between the world’s top two players and it is sure to be exciting again. They went into the 18th on the final round with Scott one ahead of the Northern Irishman. McIlroy birdied and Scott bogeyed. It doesn’t get much closer than this and Scott will be sure to want to take revenge.

Rory McIlroy

Not for us at 4-1

World number 1 for a reason

Rory is in much better knick than Scott and was tied 2nd in the DP World Tour Championship last week, a mere two shots off Stenson. Also in the process winning the prestigious Race to Dubai. Compare this to Scott who hasn’t played since early this month with an average 5 under par putting him in T12. Both are top players, but McIlroy is in top form and when he is, he’s unstoppable. We have been riding the Rory band wagon for soem time and see no rerason to get off now. Let’s keep it simple shall we?

 

 

Jordan SpeithJordan Spieth

You may be surprised to see the US youngster in here rather than Adam Scott but he is in good form currently and last week he was one shot off a 1st place playoff in Japan and is a very fine golfer with a huge career in front of him.

His rise to 14th in the world has seen a lot of quality and mental strength and he is definitely a major winner waiting to happen. We don’t think he will win it, but he will place and who knows he could prove us wrong and take the title home.

 

Our Tips

 

McIlroy 4 units win @ 6/4 with Bet 365

Spieth 2 units e/w @ 3/1 with Bet 365